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December 27, 2008 Israel Hits Gaza (Updated)
After leaking the news yesterday that the IDF would wait until after a defense cabinet meeting on Sunday before launching a strike on Gaza Palestinian targets, the Israelis let loose with a sizable surprise air attack on every single Hamas security compound in the territory:
The air strikes were in retaliation for dozens of rockets fired by Hamas from Gaza into the western Negev as the terrorists unilaterally broke the cease fire that had been brokered several months ago. Up to 155 Palestinians were killed, the vast majority belonging to the security forces according to Hamas.
As I mentioned in my post on the planned strike yesterday, the Israeli response is exactly what Hamas was looking for. Israel has recently closed Gaza checkpoints in response to the attacks, although they have allowed some shipments of food, fuel, and cooking oil through. Hamas was hoping to provoke Israel into a retaliatory strike, after which pressure would be placed on Tel Aviv to improve the cease fire conditions for Hamas. It is doubtful that Hamas expected this kind of massive assault, however, and the death of so many of their security forces. Israel must now decide whether to follow up this successful air strike with a ground assault. My guess is they will not unless Hamas ups the ante by continuing to fire massive numbers of rockets into Israel. Their response so far has been weak - just a couple of their precious medium range Grad rockets that are the only weapon they have that seriously threatens large numbers of Israeli civilians. The Kassams - while lethal - have a much shorter range and are notoriously unreliable. An off-target Kassam ended up killing two Palestinian children on Thursday. Many Kassams fall far short of their intended targets, exploding harmlessly in open fields. But Israel takes these launches quite seriously - as Hamas has just found out much to their detriment. And given the uncertainty in Israeli politics right now, chances of a new cease fire - at least the kind that Hamas is looking for - are quite slim. UPDATE: The website Jihad Watch has much more on the strike, including reaction from the usual suspects in the Arab world calling the action "unprovoked." In response, JW created an interesting graph showing a month by month total of rocket fire from Gaza directed at Israel:
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