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June 20, 2008 Israel in Dress Rehearsal for Iran Strike?
American officials report that an Israeli military exercise earlier this month involving more than 100 planes and dozens of helicpoters could have been a dry run for a strike against Iran:
First, it should be said that most American analysts believe that the Israeli political leadership has not decided whether they should strike Iran although it appears more and more as if the military brass is convinced such a strike is desirable and inevitable. Secondly, the "message" the Israelis want to send will be heard loud and clear. Europeans are, if anything, more committed than the US to forcing the Iranians to back off on their enrichment program. The Israeli exercises may light a fire under Europe to increase the severity of the sanctions against Iran in hopes that the regime will buckle. This isn't likely. President Ahmadinejad appears ready to take Iran over the cliff with their nuclear program - something the Israelis simply cannot allow. Will the exercise become real soon? Estimating progress in the Iranian program is difficult but it seems pretty certain that by this time next year, the Iranians will be enriching uranium on an industrial scale - several dozen pounds a month of reactor grade uranium that could be turned into weapons grade material in a matter of weeks. At that point, all bets are off and Israel will feel it necessary to protect itself. Hat Tip: Ed Lasky |
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