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April 1, 2008 McCain's numbers in the tracking poll
Rasmussen has numbers today that must be making the McCain camp very happpy.
All 4 tossup states with recent polling data are blue states. Actually make it eight -- Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, Oregon and Minnesota all showed McCain with small leads or just behind last week. The GOP has a perfect candidate for this year -- probably the only one who could win. If all these blue states are in in play, and McCain remains very strong in Ohio and Florida, he is in very good shape. Will it hold once the barrage of Democrat negative ad buys begin? It partly depends on when the they begin. That is the beauty of Democratic food fight from McCain's perspective -- the negative buys on McCain don't begin until much later, when he hopes to be defined already by his campaign in a positive way. Rasmussen is very cautious where he places states in the race at the moment, if they have trended to one party in the past. He has several states in the lean or likely (New Jersey) Democratic column, though McCain is ahead of both Democrats. He has states as tossups where McCain is solidly ahead (Ohio).
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