Late Surge in polls by Clinton in TX and OH

Has Hillary Clinton stopped the bleeding?

The past week has seen her "3 AM" ad raise questions about Obama's national security credentials while Obama's evident two faced NAFTA policy - telling the Canadian government that the candidate's protectionist rhetoric was pandering for votes - has raised the hackles of voters in Ohio especially.

These two events have combined to slow or perhaps even halt Obama's momentum and have given Hillary a chance to take both Ohio and Texas in today's primary.

Final polls show Hillary and Obama tied in Ohio or Clinton slightly ahead while the Texas polls show a dramatic turnaround with Hillary - who trailed by as many as 8 points last week in Texas - climbing back into the race to the point where some polls have it dead even.

Surprisingly, she has also taken the lead from Obama in Rasmussen's national poll for the first time in 3 weeks.

In addition to the ad and the NAFTA flap, increased attention by the media to Obama's problem relationship with his major fund raiser and Chicago fixer Tony Rezko may also be generating some uncertainty among voters for Obama. Rezko's corruption trial began this week and it remains to be seen what kind of long term impact it will have on the race.

Race42008 has the final polls that show Hillary's surge:


This is very interesting stuff. In Texas, look at the difference in the spread for every polling company from their last iteration:

Rasmussen: Clinton +3
PPP: Clinton +6
SUSA: Clinton +3
Zogby: Clinton +1
ARG: Clinton +7
WFAA: Obama +1

On the Ohio side, we see some similar movement:

Rasmussen: Clinton +4
PPP: Clinton +5
SUSA: Clinton +5
Zogby: Obama +3
Q: Obama +7
ARG: Obama +2

Last Friday I would have predicted an Obama sweep. Today, I think Obama will be lucky to win Texas. And Hillary may win Ohio going away - 6-10 points. 

Is the race about to turn again with momentum sliding back to Hillary Clinton? Anything is possible in this race.
 
Has Hillary Clinton stopped the bleeding?

The past week has seen her "3 AM" ad raise questions about Obama's national security credentials while Obama's evident two faced NAFTA policy - telling the Canadian government that the candidate's protectionist rhetoric was pandering for votes - has raised the hackles of voters in Ohio especially.

These two events have combined to slow or perhaps even halt Obama's momentum and have given Hillary a chance to take both Ohio and Texas in today's primary.

Final polls show Hillary and Obama tied in Ohio or Clinton slightly ahead while the Texas polls show a dramatic turnaround with Hillary - who trailed by as many as 8 points last week in Texas - climbing back into the race to the point where some polls have it dead even.

Surprisingly, she has also taken the lead from Obama in Rasmussen's national poll for the first time in 3 weeks.

In addition to the ad and the NAFTA flap, increased attention by the media to Obama's problem relationship with his major fund raiser and Chicago fixer Tony Rezko may also be generating some uncertainty among voters for Obama. Rezko's corruption trial began this week and it remains to be seen what kind of long term impact it will have on the race.

Race42008 has the final polls that show Hillary's surge:


This is very interesting stuff. In Texas, look at the difference in the spread for every polling company from their last iteration:

Rasmussen: Clinton +3
PPP: Clinton +6
SUSA: Clinton +3
Zogby: Clinton +1
ARG: Clinton +7
WFAA: Obama +1

On the Ohio side, we see some similar movement:

Rasmussen: Clinton +4
PPP: Clinton +5
SUSA: Clinton +5
Zogby: Obama +3
Q: Obama +7
ARG: Obama +2

Last Friday I would have predicted an Obama sweep. Today, I think Obama will be lucky to win Texas. And Hillary may win Ohio going away - 6-10 points. 

Is the race about to turn again with momentum sliding back to Hillary Clinton? Anything is possible in this race.