Pollsters, Pundits have egg on their faces

There are a lot of people who are eating some crow this morning.*  Pollsters, pundits, even professional political operatives all got it wrong in the New Hampshire Democratic primary.Hillary Clinton not only defied the odds, she defied expectations, the polls, and the prognosticators who had written her off on Monday - just 24 hours before the voting began. And the professional psephplogists who make a living analyzing and predicting elections are paying for it today with a big hit on their credibility:There will be a serious, critical look at the final pre-election polls in the Democratic presidential primary in New Hampshire; that is essential. It is simply unprecedented for so many polls to have been so wrong. We need to know why. But we need to know it through careful, empirically based analysis. There will be a lot of claims about what happened - about respondents who reputedly lied, about alleged difficulties polling in biracial contests. That may be so. It also may be a...(Read Full Post)

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