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October 24, 2007 Ahmadinejad in trouble over Larijani Resignation
Ed Lasky sends along this article reporting that Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad is in hot water with his power base over the sudden resignation of nuclear negotiator Ali Larijani and his replacement by a crony from the foriegn ministry:
President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad yesterday cut short a planned two-day visit to Armenia, officials there said, as the hard-line leader faced growing unhappiness at home over the resignation of Iran's top nuclear negotiator.That last statement is an earth shaker. Velayati is very close to Supreme Leader Khamenei and the fact that he is displeased may signal a crack of the whip by the aging Ayatollah. It is believed that Khamenei wishes to avoid conflict with the west if it is at all possible. By naming his crony Jalili, Ahmadinejad is sending a signal that almost shouts "Bring it on!" Mr. Jalili’s appointment may signal a clarification rather than a hardening of Iran’s policy."Clarifying" indeed. The thought that Mr. Jalili has been sent to simply buy Iran time to complete its plans to build a bomb is pretty obvious. And perhaps, this is what has Ahmadinejad in hot water with the clerical leadership. Most of the ruling holy men may be fanatics but they aren't stupid. They know full well what our military is capable of doing and fear it greatly. If there is a way they can continue to enrich uranium and avoid war, they want to find it. Ahmadinejad has apparently given up on that notion. And this has not sat well with the leadership. It would be too humiliating to withdraw Jalili's name at this point. But it wouldn't surprise me if they named an "assistant" who would be the real negotiator with the Europeans as both sides continue to manuever to avoid war. |
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