Calling it in July: Santorum's Fate

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Delusion must run deep in those surprised by yesterday's results. Back in July it was clear to me that calling the Democrats names while governing as liberals was not going to work this time around.

The conservative base was, and is, disgusted with the results of Republican domination of all three branches of the Federal Government, and lip service at election time only made it worse. So anti—war and 'throw the bums out' sentiments ruled the day.

Rick Santorum is a very real casualty for the nation. The excellent Pennsylvania Senator needed a strong turnout of the conservative base to have any chance against empty suit Bob Casey Jr. Unfortunately he began his campaign with a misguided attempt to appeal to moderates and camouflaged his record with a 'softer side' approach. It didn't work. It didn't fool the liberal voters and further alienated the conservatives, especially given Santorum's endorsement of Arlen Specter against a solid conservative for Pennsylvania's other Senate seat.

Late in the game, too late, Santorum went hard right, then tried to use immigration reform as a means too beat back the inevitable and swelling tide of voter discontent with incumbents and the war. 

Outcome: Casey is Senator Nothing. Santorum is presidential material for '08. If he learns his lesson.

Andrew Sumereau   11 8 06

Delusion must run deep in those surprised by yesterday's results. Back in July it was clear to me that calling the Democrats names while governing as liberals was not going to work this time around.

The conservative base was, and is, disgusted with the results of Republican domination of all three branches of the Federal Government, and lip service at election time only made it worse. So anti—war and 'throw the bums out' sentiments ruled the day.

Rick Santorum is a very real casualty for the nation. The excellent Pennsylvania Senator needed a strong turnout of the conservative base to have any chance against empty suit Bob Casey Jr. Unfortunately he began his campaign with a misguided attempt to appeal to moderates and camouflaged his record with a 'softer side' approach. It didn't work. It didn't fool the liberal voters and further alienated the conservatives, especially given Santorum's endorsement of Arlen Specter against a solid conservative for Pennsylvania's other Senate seat.

Late in the game, too late, Santorum went hard right, then tried to use immigration reform as a means too beat back the inevitable and swelling tide of voter discontent with incumbents and the war. 

Outcome: Casey is Senator Nothing. Santorum is presidential material for '08. If he learns his lesson.

Andrew Sumereau   11 8 06