"Throw the bums out," the vernacular for incumbent fatigue, is the emotional response to the analytical dissatisfaction with the status quo. Yet a bum can survive if a challenger can't promise a compelling vision of the new order. Obama understands how this calculus of organization change applies to his re-election. He knows that this election is a referendum on his record, his stewardship of the resources under his command, and how well he mitigated inherited messes. Obama has been a failure on all three counts. No, he has been spectacularly dreadful -- his record, stewardship, and mitigation -- leaving a legacy of despair and divisiveness. Thus, Obama loses the referendum. And he knows it. It is no surprise, then, that Obama's campaign has been devoted to framing Mitt Romney -- and Paul Ryan -- as unfit to lead the nation. Nullification of Romney/Ryan legitimacy denies the challengers' standing to present a compelling vision of their new order. Students of organizational behavior know that resistance against or invitation to change is....
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