August 3, 2009
Obama and the mad proliferatorsBy James Lewis
So you thought Iran was the most frightening nuclear madhouse? With North Korea playing catch-up?
You forgot Syria. Its hidden nuke reactor was bombed by Israel in 2007. But nobody knows what else they have.
You forgot Libya. Qaddafi got scared by Dubya and gave up nukes in 2003. But it's a big country, and they could be hiding stuff.
And today we have Myanmar, which used to be called Burma. It follows the Burmese Way to Socialism, which means that Obama has to be nice to them. They are officially the Wretched of the Earth, even the tyrants who have driven that country into the grounds while living in luxury. But they're building nukes anyway.
Even Wikipedia admits that
But that's so Eighties. This year a Newsweek cover headlined that "We're all Socialists now." So Burma has to be cool -- regardless of how many of its own people it starves.
Still, the latest news is that Burma is following the North Korean Way to Socialism, which means starving hundreds of thousands of your own people and blackmailing the West by going all out for WMD's. And then selling your know-how to the other criminocracies.
Writes the Global Post,
North Korea is sending its military engineers to Syria, Iran, and Libya. Only Pakistan is a bigger nuclear proliferator, and they are selling to the Saudis and other Arabs.
Who's going to stop Myanmar from exporting nuclear weapons to Osama Bin Laden? The Sudan? The Taliban? Somalia's mad jihadis? Professor Henry Louis Gates, Jr., of Harvard?
Mathematically, the spread of nuke tech has to expand geometrically. You start with one (say, Pakistan). Then you get two (North Korea and Iran). Then four, eight, and so on. It's like HIV: Each nukophiliac spreads the virus to as many others as possible. If the number of rogues doubles every five years we will see 64 countries making nukie in 20 years. That's half of all the madcap regimes in the UN. All of them will be immune to pressure. If you think the Swine Flu is scary, just wait till the Nuke Plague.
Now the Left loudly called for George W Bush to be lynched to from the nearest tree when the US got tough with Saddam Hussein. W was abused every single day for six years for being nasty to Saddam -- even though he managed to tamp down the nuclear wildfire a little bit, at a high cost in American lives and treasure. OK, W was wrong about Saddam's nuclear weapons. Frankly, I don't care. The CIA is always wrong about nuke programs abroad. Always, always, always. CIA failures are a lot more predictable than global warming. Still, if you're putting out a wildfire you have to take the chance of dumping too much retardant rather than too little. The alternative is to hang back and let the fire take over.
But the Left has convinced itself that we only have to worry about Evil American carbon dioxide, warming things up by 2 degrees by 2100. Everything else is a distraction from Ecodoom. Obama's official Science Advisor says he actually believes that pack of lies.
So W's way of trying to stop real Armageddon is now officially out of the question. That means Obama only has one string left on his fiddle, the one marked "Nice."
This sets all the mullahs giggling. Even the ones who hate A'jad are all in favor of Iranian nukes, as long as they can be the ones to pull the trigger. What's the down side?
If Tehran gets nukes Obama will have to be very nice. If Iran is just within inches of getting them, Obama will still have to be very nice. The only mistake they can make is to stop. It's only if they don't go for nukes that they lose their biggest bargaining chip. Persians understand bargaining. Don't expect them to back down without having the daylights scared out of them. It will never happen.
So all the incentives are now on the side of a mad rush to nukes for every rogue nation in the world. Down in Caracas Hugo Chavez is getting jealous, because he constantly needs to prop up his hungry ego. Raul Castro can't let that upstart Chavez get nukes before he does. The Sandinistas feel the same way. Robert Mugabe would really, really love a couple of nukes for his next birthday.
OK, Professor Obama! Question!
You got elected. You were going to stop the seas from rising, give free health care to all and not raise taxes.
That's the easy part.
Now we're waiting. What's your answer to Burma and A'jad? This is reality now.
Time is running out. The bad guys are getting closer and closer every day. A'jad will get his nuclear bomb in a year, maybe two. So Obama will be in charge in the White House when Tehran explodes the Big One.
The atomic clock is ticking. If you expect Israel to take care of the Iranian threat, they can carry off one strike.
After that, hell breaks out in the Gulf, and the US Navy carries the only Big Stick at the center of the world's oil supply. Iran's Bushehr reactor is 50 miles from Saudi Arabia, well within range of the radioactive cloud if the reactor gets hit. All the Gulf States plus Saudi plus Iraq are in easy reach of Iranian missiles.
Ahmadinejad doesn't even need long-range missiles to hit Israel. In Gaza last year, Hamas rockets hit close to Israel's sole nuclear reactor at Dimona. Hamas now has a fresh supply of rockets from Iran. Dimona is now vulnerable.
So is Bushehr. And those are just the regular reactors, not even the heavy water plants, the uranium mines, the Russian and North Korean engineers, the plutonium refining plants, the missile bases.
I'm hunkering down for the Big Boom because Obama is a fraud and a fake, and he's so mentally stuck that he'll never admit he was wrong. The United States has just made itself helpless against mortal danger by electing a fool for president. But the US is the only country in the world with the power to stop Armageddon. Everybody is either apathetic -- like Europe -- or actively malevolent -- like China and Russia.
If we don't make the first move, somebody else will. And when Obama's got the Iran problem solved, he'll have to deal with Myanmar and its ilk. Nukes are the great equalizer for rogues with inferiority complexes. That describes more than half the members of the UN. Proliferation is cheap and getting cheaper.
We can't monitor every single mountain cave in the world. So we have to make it very, very costly and painful for rogues to go for nuke. But that was the Bush policy that every demagogue rails against today.
So the only question is how loud the Bang is going to have to be before we wake up and find somebody with the guts to do the job.
I'd pick Hillary before Obama.