January 11, 2009
CO2 Fairytales in Global WarmingBy Gregory Young
If one were to script a Global Warming scam one would have to be a knot-head or brain-dead to pick Carbon Dioxide (CO2) as the lead factor.
Of course we know now that CO2 was rolled out as the "poster child" nemesis against the environment. It was meant to get us hysterical enough to plead with our politicians to exact a tax on our carbon footprints so that we can save the planet earth. But it's turning out that the CO2 "poster child" has significant problems. Despite the fact that Carbon is a part of the CO2 molecule, the atmospheric science of CO2 directly contradicts what the AGW alarmists are trying to sell us. Promoting CO2 as the environmental monkey on our back is absolutely ludicrous. CO2 is friend to all life, not a foe.
I have already covered some of the arguments against CO2 as the lead agent causing Global Warming before in American Thinker pointing out (as many more are today) that Global Warming is a hoax of the worst order. So I won't repeat those details here. Suffice to say that current CO2 levels hover around 385 parts per million (ppm), a relatively minor constituent of earth's entire atmosphere -- less than 4/100ths of 1% of all gases present.
Nevertheless, Anthropogenic (man-made) Global Warming (AGW) proponents demand that unless we immediately reduce the amount of CO2 in the earth's atmosphere to less than 350 ppm, we (that is mankind) will cause huge and irreversible damage to the earth.
Historically, and at one significant point indeed, CO2 atmospheric concentrations were much, much higher, 6,000 plus ppm. And guess what? The earth was more than just fine. It was incredibly filled with life. This fact seems to fall on deaf ears when talking to Global Warming protagonists. So, to make things picture clear, consider the graph below. It is a representation of the amount of CO2 in the earth's atmosphere from the Cambrian Age to the present.
The chart is fairly easy to understand. Note the Black Line on the chart representing "Atmospheric CO2." See how it has been declining for the past 500 million years? Also note that in the Cambrian Age, some 570 million years ago, all of life -- "all" meaning all 34 current animal phyla -- appeared to suddenly explode upon the earth's surface (left-hand side of the chart). Atmospheric CO2 concentrations at that time were estimated to be close to 7,000 ppm. That's a CO2 concentration of 7000 ppm then, 385 ppm now.
At the time on earth when life seems to have blossomed beyond anything that we've seen, CO2 concentrations were the highest that have ever been recorded. In other words, high concentrations of CO2 didn't seem to have the least ill effect on the greatest expansion of life in the history of the earth.
In fact, it could be argued that the abundance of life arose precisely because high atmospheric CO2 concentrations were soaring; certainly not because of its absence. To be sure, high atmospheric CO2 concentrations and warm temperatures acted to usher in all life on earth. Compared to former geologic times, earth's current atmosphere is unequivocally and fundamentally CO2- impoverished.
So if, as we are led to believe by the AGW crowd, CO2 is a pollutant that will harm all life when its concentrations exceed 350 ppm, how "on earth" did life suddenly explode upon the planet when atmospheric CO2 concentrations were almost 7,000 ppm?
How can CO2 be such an environmental "downer," when the majority of life on the earth has in the past benefited by such abundance? And not just by a little, but by a lot?
Remember too that there were no people around at that time. No industry. No SUVs. No coal-fired furnaces. No shopping malls and miles of blacktop. There was a lot of life, for sure, all eating, reproducing -- and being shamefully flatulent no doubt. Yet sky-high CO2 concentrations didn't appear to do anything to disrupt the effusion of life covering the entire planet, filling the waterways and oceans.
Incidentally, we also know that man-made CO2 pollution being responsible for global warming is not supported by historical fact. The period known as the Holocene Maximum (approximately 7500 to 4000 years ago) is a good example -- so-named because it was the hottest period in human history, long before humans invented industrial pollution. Furthermore, earth's temperature and CO2 levels today have reached levels similar to a previous interglacial cycle known as the Eemian Interglacial Period of 120,000 - 140,000 years ago, a cycle lasting some 20,000 years before the earth returned to a full-fledged ice age immediately afterward.[i]
But still the AGW crowd clings to their mantra. I can only surmise that AGW advocates are experiencing cognitive dissonance and splitting, consciously choosing to be unaware of earth's geophysical and climatic history. For instance, revised Russian Ice Core Data from the Antarctica show that CO2 has been increasing steadily for the last 18,000 years. Yet again, AGW proponents claim that CO2 levels now are unnaturally high and are only the result of the last 200 years or so of human pollution.
Getting back to the chart above, please note the Blue Line denoting Global Temperature when compared to the Black Line (CO2 concentrations) appears to have little correlation. Indeed, simple observation reveals how much warmer it has been in the past (~20-22o C), and for longer periods of time, compared to today (~14o C.) whereas CO2 concentrations have been steadily declining. CO2 does not cause Global Warming. These findings are exactly opposite to what AGW alarmists hysterically declare.
To further demonstrate how insignificant CO2 gas is as a factor of AGW, consider the following chart. Once again a picture is worth a thousand words. As shown below, human or man-made additions to the whole global mix of greenhouse gas is only 0.28% (shown in blue). Of that amount, man-made CO2 represents only 0.117%, or a little less than half of the 0.28%. Man-made sources of other gases contribute the rest, or 0.163% of the 0.28% to the total of human additions to global greenhouse gases. Now, contrast CO2 with the 4.72% gases derived from oceanic biological activities, decaying plants, animal activity, etc (shown in green), and water vapor (shown in red), a whopping 95%!
This means that 99.72% of the greenhouse effect is due totally to natural causes. Even if we wanted and there was some scientific reason to do so, any attempt to remove all human activity from the equation (least wise CO2 with its 0.117%), would have little impact on climate change or AGW.
Ironically, water vapor as a global greenhouse gas isn't even discussed in the UN's International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Instead the reports concentrate on the alleged evils and trepidations of CO2.
To nail the coffin shut on this one, let's look at some other friendly facts about CO2 that we shouldn't forget:
You would have thought that the AGW crowd would have picked a more menacing, threatening, less friendly and helpful character-molecule than CO2 to scare us into effectively being taken in by their carbon footprint tax scam. But the AGW poster child of CO2 has failed miserably in this regard. CO2 is not the nemesis that the warming alarmists would have us believe.
Dr. Gregory Young is a neuroscientist and physicist, a doctoral graduate of the University of Oxford, Oxford, England. He currently chairs a privately funded think-tank engaged in experimental biophysical research.
[i] R.S. Bradley and J.A. Eddy based on J.T. Houghton et al., Climate Change: The IPCC Assessment, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 1990 and published in EarthQuest, vo. 1, 1991. Courtesy of Thomas Crowley, Remembrance of Things Past: Greenhouse Lessons from the Geologic Record.