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May 30, 2004 Saudis overwhelm Khobar terroristsBy Dan BerardThe small town of al—Khobar, Saudi Arabia became the focus of a seemingly amateur terrorist attack on an expatriate compound. Khobar is a small town that borders the headquarters of Saudi Aramco, a city called Dhahran. The small town of Khobar hosts luxury Western apartments and businesses that cater to the expatriates who work in Saudi Aramco as well as a large number of contractors who live outside the company—owned area in Dhahran. The Saudi professionals who work in the oil business are very well educated and trained. However skill gaps can and do develop, since the state—of—the art technologies in many areas of the business require cutting edge expertise. In addition, certain professional skill sets, such as auditing, legal services and accounting may not be available in the local job market. There are also many contractors in Saudi Arabia who employ huge numbers of men from the surrounding South Asian countries and the Philippines. These workers do everything from carpentry to cleaning streets to operating pizza parlors in Khobar. Some individuals who are contracted to work in the Dhahran oil company headquarters also live in the Khobar area. The attack on the Khobar Petroleum Center was actually an attack on foreign companies doing business in Saudi Arabia. The Russian company Lukoil and Chinese company Sinopec are there to manage gas development contracts recently taken away from American oil companies, notably ExxonMobil. The expatriates who work in the area live in neighboring compounds designed specifically for expatriates, which feature exclusive restaurants, swimming pools, and upscale living quarters, usually subsidized by their parent companies. This terrorist act was timed in quick response to the strong statements by Saudi Aramco authorities that Saudi Aramco oil facilities are safe, made only a few weeks ago. Having shown—up the official statement as empty, the terrorist forces have gained the appearance of a stronger horse. The only good news in all of this is that Prince Abdullah has vowed to stamp out terrorists from the Arabian Peninsula. This is precisely what is needed in the war on terror, a strong Arab leader who is angry and who is not going to take it anymore. Let's see what he does though. These bombings and killings will make the hiring process very difficult and, perhaps encourage expatriate families to follow the official advice of the US Ambassador, to leave the area and go home. All of this is bad news for us at home because this raises the cost of operation and highlights the real possibility of a major disruption in the oil market. The oil market inventories are now so tight that any small disruption can send oil futures prices soaring. For example, a pipeline shutdown in the Gulf of Mexico this last month sent oil futures to $41.85 per barrel. Consider a major catastrophe in a Saudi facility that could put 3—4 million barrels per day offline. The impact on the international oil market and US economy would be of horrendous magnitude and difficult to quantify. In terms of economic impact alone, this would be an event that would stop our economic recovery. What can Chuck Schumer of New York and other liberal politicians be thinking about when they say we should use the SPR to lower gasoline prices? At the very minimum, these people are taking cheap political shots at the Administration, and advocating risky policies. At worst, they are displaying a frightening ignorance of the compelling security issues that now face this country. Dan Berard is our energy correspondent |
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